If Kelce can earn that nod in 2020, that might be enough to get him in. Gore is the football equivalent of somebody like MLB outfielder Jim Rice as a compiler who plays a position the electorate loves. Stafford posted gaudy numbers earlier in his career when the Lions had him lead the league in attempts, but he has made it to one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game in 11 seasons. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. Of the seven players eligible for the Hall of Fame who made it to the Pro Bowl in their age-21 campaign, six are in the Hall. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. When: 1999-2004 These two probably had the greatest four-year stretch in NFL history. 2 pick was a four-time Pro Bowler and a three-time All-Pro during his five seasons in Detroit. The left tackle has seven Pro Bowls and two All-Pro nods before turning 30. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Can Baker Mayfield's game be fixed? Carmichael was one of the best wide receivers of his era. Five seasons of 100 receptions or more plus a few others that flirted with 100 make Johnson one of the most reliable wide receivers in NFL history. Many of the modern-era players to whom hes statistically comparable played well into their 30s. He has made the Pro Bowl in each of his first six seasons, adding four first-team All-Pro appearances. "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. Unless he turns things around dramatically this season, he would fall out of the "Work to do" category altogether. Evans is on pace to join Randy Moss as the only other player in NFL history to open his career with six consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. He has a stronger case than you think. Mosley. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Top-10 picks who make it to the Pro Bowl as rookies have a great track record. The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. But history tells us that's a lot to ask. Likely (70% to 99%): S Earl Thomas. One more Pro Bowl would probably do the trick. All 259 picks | Every team's class Most Approximate Value (AV) in a receiver's best sets of five and seven consecutive seasons, 1960-2019. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. Wilson hasn't missed a game as a pro, so as long as he plays another five or six seasons and continues to rank among the better quarterbacks in football, he should be fine. Jimmy Smith's peak was among the best ever. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. There aren't any Dolphins who would appear to have greater than a 10% chance of making the Hall of Fame. The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . (1:43), Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? In the running (40% to 69%): S Jamal Adams. On the latest episode of the Let's Go! He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Football Insiders with Trey Wingo. He looked to be firmly on a Hall trajectory at that point, but over the ensuing five seasons, he has just one Pro Bowl appearance. Jordan's ascension from very good player to one of the best defensive ends in football over the past three years has helped drive his candidacy. Jackson and teammate Kyle Fuller both slipped last season, but each earned Pro Bowl nods, and that's going to matter more to voters 15 years from now than how either player actually performed in 2019. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. (1:43). Below them are the players who are In the running (between 40% and 69%), and then the players who have Work to do to get on the Hall of Fame radar, who come in between 10% and 39%. McCardell and Smith dubbed "Thunder . He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. Both are among the all-time leaders in every notable stat at their positions. Both are locks for election. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. Giants fans would be happy if Thomas solidified a position that has been a mess since Will Beatty tore his pec in 2015. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. Likely (70% to 99%): LB Khalil Mack. 1. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . As it stands, though, Gurley doesn't have enough on his rsum to get in. I think his five-year peak with the Seahawks probably would have been enough to get him in, but earning a sixth Pro Bowl trip with the 49ers last season only helped his chances. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. While James is closer to the 69% end of the spectrum here, Bosa's more toward 40%. Eagles fans will be furious, but the reality is that Wentz has made one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game or led the league in a major statistical category (outside of fumbles) during his first four seasons. I think he'll end up getting in because he has simply racked up numbers year after year without missing much time, although I could also see an argument that he hasn't done enough outside of that one brilliant year. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Longtime teammate Jeff Bagwell, meanwhile, had to wait until his seventh year on the ballot before gaining enshrinement to Cooperstown. Future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, though, has a different team in mind for Rodgers. It's tough to rack up interceptions in the modern NFL, but Peters has 27 since entering the league, nine more than any other player. 260 players who could win MVP Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans is having himself a season. Bakhtiari, likewise, is blocked by Tyron Smith. The star inside linebacker made his first Pro Bowl last season, which is incredible given that it was his age-21 season. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? At the same time, no tight end in history has more than four 1,000-yard seasons over their respective careers, and Kelce has just run off four consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns. Unless Evans has a Powell-esque decline or gets radically overshadowed by a teammate la Holt with Isaac Bruce, then Evans seems to have a good chance to get into the Hall eventually. I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. 8/16/2011. Let's see whether we can get a sense of who those 50 are right now: Jump to a team: Given the ages of Gilmore and Patrick Peterson, Ramsey is neck-and-neck with White and Marshon Lattimore as the likely best cornerback in football over the next five years. 7 overall in the 2014 draft at the age of 20. DT | LB | CB | Safety Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. A Super Bowl victory would probably help. 3 pick. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. 1 pick and winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that hasn't historically been a helpful combination. He made only two Pro Bowls with the Cardinals, which was a farce. All HOFm Positions: QBRBWRTEGTCDTDEILBOLBDBKP, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Gates numbers compare very favorably with those of the nine tight ends in the Hall. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. Watson has earned Pro Bowl nods in each of his first two full seasons as a starter, which is easier for quarterbacks than it is for most other positions. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. The others are Moss, Keenan Allen and Amari Cooper. How Antonio Brown is hurting his Hall of Fame future, and what the volatile wide receiver needs to do to fix it Brown's continued off-field distractions have cast doubt on when -- and if -- he . Although the Texans struggled through much of his career with the team, the franchise and fans always knew they could rely on him for stellar numbers. His peak is Hall of Fame-worthy -- he has two of the three best seasons in fantasy football history by a tight end -- but it lasted only four seasons. After five consecutive Pro Bowl campaigns, I wonder whether Landry actually has a better shot of surpassing his friend and longtime teammate. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. Watt, with his three Defensive Player of the Year awards with the Texans, will for sure give Houston another Hall of Famer. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. In his other two seasons, he racked up a combined 23 sacks and made a pair of Pro Bowls. Randy Moss. We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. Byard was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 when he led the league with eight picks, but despite playing at an upper-echelon level over the ensuing two seasons, he hasn't received the same consideration. Joe Fortenbaugh isn't picking Odell Beckham Jr. to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but he expects Kevin Stefanski's scheme to improve the wide receiver's numbers in 2020. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. Inductees Nominees Induction Weekend Induction Process Landmark Award Squier-Hall Award Blue Jacket & Class Ring. 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He probably needs to keep that streak going for a couple more years or rack up another 15-sack campaign to move the needle to Likely. CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND Likely (70% to 99%): WR Michael Thomas. Early in a player's career, I'm also comfortable using draft status as an estimate of talent until they establish themselves as pros, which will lead to some very inexperienced players making this list. Running backs mean less than they have in the past, but Terrell Davis just made the Hall for what really amounted to a three-season stretch as the best running back in football. The 2021 Radio Hall of Fame inductees will be honored at the in-person 2021 Radio Hall of Fame induction ceremony on Thursday, October 28, 2021, at Chicago's Wintrust Grand Banking Hall. The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Duane Brown. It might seem surprising to put Hill this high, but he has made it to four Pro Bowls and been a first-team All-Pro twice across his first four seasons. Roy Williams is the lone Hall-eligible safety who didn't follow his early success to Canton. The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. Gronk has five first-team All-Pro appearances. In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. Instead, legendary players and coaches like Troy Polamalu and Jimmy Johnson will wait until next year to give their speeches in Canton, Ohio. Everyone but Hill is either a lock or extremely likely to make it in. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. In the running (40% to 69%): RB Saquon Barkley. . He has two first-team All-Pro appearances over the past five years, but it's likely too little, too late. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation You probably dont need me to tell you that in 2018 Moss became the most recent receiver to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? Inside linebackers generally need to become Defensive Player of the Year candidates and earn multiple first-team All-Pro appearances to get serious consideration for Canton, but Edmunds is off to a great start. They both need multiple All-Pro seasons before they can rise up the ranks. He is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year, joining Lawrence Taylor as the only three-time winners of the award. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. Around the NFL Writer. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. Find out more. For now, Tom Brady and J.J. Watt lead the list of this years retirees wholl be on the ballot in 2028. This trio is. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. I think Thomas is a prohibitive favorite to get in. Baker was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and a two-time Pro Bowler, although his 2017 awards were for special-teams work, which isn't valued as highly by voters. Podcast: Stat superlatives Lewan has three Pro Bowls. He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. Or write about sports? David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. When a group consists of you and Jerry Rice, you've done something right. Thielen only emerged as a starter after turning 26, which means he would have to play into his late 30s to have a chance at racking up the cumulative stats modern wide receivers will need for enshrinement. Martin, who also turns 30 during the season, might not even need another nod. If Wagner makes it to another Pro Bowl or two, I don't think Willis' status will matter. Players the Jaguars could target Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Baker Mayfield, DE Myles Garrett. He was selected No. Not knowing anything else about Burrow beyond where and when he was drafted, his Hall of Fame chances before starting his career come in by that small sample around 20%. In the running (40% to 69%): DT Ndamukong Suh. Where does Evans slot in? He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. Nelson is one of seven players to start his career with two consecutive first-team All-Pro nods, a group that includes four Hall of Famers, Devin Hester and Keith Jackson. Unlike Gurley, McCaffrey didn't win Offensive Player of the Year or make a deep playoff run. JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. But during his 15-year career, Lewis has only been a Pro Bowler and Second-Team All-Pro in 2010. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. As a result, I'll mention them often, especially when looking at players who don't touch the ball frequently. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. 2 with 6,103 yards. Ten of those 12 are in the Hall -- Elliott and Adrian Peterson are the other two. Gurley was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and 2018, but he wasn't able to clinch a rushing title and didn't look like his old self last season. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. The only Hall-eligible players drafted since 1970 who have five of those and aren't in the Hall are Alan Faneca and Zach Thomas. OBJ hasn't made a Pro Bowl since 2016, and while this could be a bounce-back year for the former Giants star, another middling campaign would push him into the "Work to do" tier. The former Panthers quarterback has two other Pro Bowl nods besides that 2015 season, although he hasn't received a nomination since. He probably needs two more All-Pro seasons to finalize his case. From 2015 to 2019, his numbers are virtually identical to those of Eric Ebron. The two first-time eligible players who stand out on next years ballot are defensive end Julius Peppers and tight end Antonio Gates. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. After missing the postseason for the first time in four years, the Green Bay Packers will now spend their offseason with one topic at the forefront of their internal conversations: the future of Aaron Rodgers. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Ryan's case is trickier. SEA | TB | TEN | WSH. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Lamar Jackson, CB Marcus Peters, K Justin Tucker. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. Lock (100%): DT Aaron Donald. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown.

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